WxSim & NWS Forecast Comparison
National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Morning Forecasts
Updated: 07-01-22 at 6:00 pm |
Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
± 2.0° F |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
07-01-22 |
84 |
|
68 |
69 |
|
89 |
83 |
|
70 |
67 |
|
84 |
83 |
|
68 |
65 |
|
85 |
82 |
|
62 |
66 |
|
82 |
06-30-22 |
85 |
62.8 |
85 |
67 |
84.7 |
66 |
89 |
|
88 |
69 |
|
69 |
82 |
|
86 |
68 |
|
67 |
80 |
|
86 |
66 |
|
65 |
06-29-22 |
81 |
80.8 |
83 |
65 |
58.8 |
63 |
84 |
62.8 |
84 |
67 |
84.7 |
66 |
85 |
|
88 |
69 |
|
72 |
82 |
|
80 |
66 |
|
66 |
06-28-22 |
80 |
80.4 |
80 |
60 |
58.5 |
59 |
81 |
80.8 |
82 |
65 |
58.8 |
63 |
84 |
62.8 |
85 |
67 |
84.7 |
66 |
85 |
|
88 |
69 |
|
72 |
06-27-22 |
75 |
73.9 |
77 |
60 |
69.4 |
61 |
75 |
80.4 |
79 |
65 |
58.5 |
63 |
85 |
80.8 |
82 |
65 |
58.8 |
64 |
85 |
62.8 |
85 |
65 |
84.7 |
66 |
06-26-22 |
85 |
89.8 |
86 |
66 |
64.9 |
67 |
76 |
73.9 |
77 |
60 |
69.4 |
59 |
77 |
80.4 |
78 |
60 |
58.5 |
62 |
78 |
80.8 |
83 |
63 |
58.8 |
63 |
06-25-22 |
85 |
89.8 |
86 |
65 |
61.9 |
65 |
84 |
89.8 |
85 |
65 |
64.9 |
67 |
76 |
73.9 |
76 |
59 |
69.4 |
57 |
78 |
80.4 |
79 |
60 |
58.5 |
59 |
Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
# Succ |
3 |
|
1 |
2 |
|
1 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
1 |
1 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
1 |
1 |
|
1 |
% Succ |
50.0 |
|
16.7 |
33.3 |
|
16.7 |
20.0 |
|
40.0 |
20.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
25.0 |
25.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
33.3 |
33.3 |
|
33.3 |
Ave Error |
5.6 |
|
5.9 |
6.5 |
|
6.2 |
6.9 |
|
6.3 |
8.0 |
|
8.0 |
7.7 |
|
7.0 |
9.0 |
|
10.0 |
9.1 |
|
8.6 |
8.5 |
|
7.8 |
Net Error |
2.3 |
|
3.3 |
-2.5 |
|
-2.9 |
2.5 |
|
3.9 |
-2.9 |
|
-3.7 |
6.0 |
|
5.8 |
-5.1 |
|
-5.6 |
5.7 |
|
7.7 |
-4.7 |
|
-4.7 |
Std Dev |
7.7 |
|
7.3 |
5.6 |
|
6.0 |
7.1 |
|
7.4 |
4.5 |
|
5.3 |
6.7 |
|
7.6 |
4.4 |
|
4.4 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
Mid-Day Forecasts
Updated: 07-01-22 at 12:00 pm |
Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
07-01-22 |
84 |
|
86 |
69 |
|
68 |
83 |
|
81 |
67 |
|
67 |
83 |
|
85 |
65 |
|
62 |
82 |
|
84 |
66 |
|
66 |
06-30-22 |
85 |
84.7 |
87 |
67 |
64.0 |
67 |
89 |
|
88 |
69 |
|
69 |
82 |
|
86 |
68 |
|
67 |
80 |
|
84 |
66 |
|
64 |
06-29-22 |
81 |
80.8 |
84 |
65 |
62.8 |
65 |
84 |
84.7 |
86 |
67 |
64.0 |
67 |
85 |
|
88 |
69 |
|
71 |
82 |
|
85 |
66 |
|
68 |
06-28-22 |
80 |
80.4 |
80 |
60 |
58.8 |
60 |
81 |
80.8 |
82 |
65 |
62.8 |
63 |
84 |
84.7 |
85 |
67 |
64.0 |
65 |
85 |
|
86 |
69 |
|
70 |
06-27-22 |
78 |
73.9 |
78 |
60 |
58.5 |
60 |
77 |
80.4 |
79 |
61 |
58.8 |
62 |
80 |
80.8 |
82 |
63 |
62.8 |
62 |
82 |
84.7 |
86 |
65 |
64.0 |
66 |
06-26-22 |
85 |
89.8 |
90 |
66 |
69.4 |
69 |
76 |
73.9 |
80 |
60 |
58.5 |
61 |
77 |
80.4 |
79 |
60 |
58.8 |
62 |
78 |
80.8 |
82 |
63 |
62.8 |
63 |
06-25-22 |
85 |
89.8 |
90 |
65 |
64.9 |
66 |
84 |
89.8 |
86 |
65 |
69.4 |
68 |
76 |
73.9 |
76 |
59 |
58.5 |
59 |
78 |
80.4 |
79 |
60 |
58.8 |
60 |
Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
# Succ |
3 |
|
3 |
3 |
|
4 |
2 |
|
3 |
1 |
|
2 |
2 |
|
3 |
3 |
|
3 |
0 |
|
3 |
3 |
|
3 |
% Succ |
50.0 |
|
50.0 |
50.0 |
|
66.7 |
40.0 |
|
60.0 |
20.0 |
|
40.0 |
50.0 |
|
75.0 |
75.0 |
|
75.0 |
|
|
100.0 |
100.0 |
|
100.0 |
Ave Error |
2.4 |
|
1.7 |
1.9 |
|
1.6 |
2.4 |
|
2.8 |
2.7 |
|
2.1 |
1.8 |
|
1.3 |
1.2 |
|
1.4 |
2.6 |
|
1.3 |
0.8 |
|
1.1 |
Net Error |
-0.9 |
|
1.6 |
0.8 |
|
1.4 |
-1.5 |
|
0.7 |
0.9 |
|
1.5 |
-0.7 |
|
0.5 |
1.2 |
|
1.0 |
-2.6 |
|
0.4 |
0.8 |
|
1.1 |
Std Dev |
1.9 |
|
1.4 |
0.8 |
|
0.8 |
1.3 |
|
1.1 |
0.3 |
|
1.1 |
0.5 |
|
0.5 |
0.9 |
|
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
Evening Forecasts
Updated: 07-01-22 at 6:00 pm |
Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
± 2.0° F |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
07-01-22 |
69 |
|
69 |
82 |
|
85 |
67 |
|
68 |
83 |
|
85 |
64 |
|
62 |
81 |
|
82 |
67 |
|
66 |
81 |
|
78 |
06-30-22 |
67 |
64.0 |
68 |
84 |
84.7 |
89 |
69 |
|
70 |
83 |
|
84 |
67 |
|
68 |
82 |
|
85 |
65 |
|
62 |
83 |
|
82 |
06-29-22 |
65 |
62.8 |
63 |
85 |
80.8 |
85 |
67 |
64.0 |
65 |
89 |
84.7 |
87 |
71 |
|
71 |
83 |
|
83 |
69 |
|
69 |
82 |
|
81 |
06-28-22 |
62 |
58.8 |
62 |
81 |
80.4 |
84 |
65 |
62.8 |
64 |
84 |
80.8 |
85 |
67 |
64.0 |
66 |
85 |
84.7 |
86 |
69 |
|
71 |
84 |
|
83 |
06-27-22 |
61 |
58.5 |
61 |
80 |
73.9 |
79 |
61 |
58.8 |
60 |
81 |
80.4 |
82 |
64 |
62.8 |
62 |
84 |
80.8 |
85 |
66 |
64.0 |
64 |
84 |
84.7 |
87 |
06-26-22 |
68 |
69.4 |
67 |
75 |
89.8 |
77 |
59 |
58.5 |
60 |
77 |
73.9 |
78 |
60 |
58.8 |
62 |
80 |
80.4 |
82 |
63 |
62.8 |
62 |
83 |
80.8 |
83 |
06-25-22 |
68 |
64.9 |
67 |
85 |
89.8 |
86 |
68 |
69.4 |
68 |
77 |
89.8 |
77 |
60 |
58.5 |
59 |
77 |
73.9 |
80 |
60 |
58.8 |
60 |
78 |
80.4 |
81 |
Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
# Succ |
1 |
|
1 |
2 |
|
0 |
2 |
|
5 |
1 |
|
1 |
3 |
|
3 |
2 |
|
2 |
3 |
|
3 |
1 |
|
1 |
% Succ |
16.7 |
|
16.7 |
33.3 |
|
0.0 |
40.0 |
|
100.0 |
20.0 |
|
20.0 |
75.0 |
|
75.0 |
50.0 |
|
50.0 |
100.0 |
|
100.0 |
33.3 |
|
33.3 |
Ave Error |
2.6 |
|
2.4 |
5.2 |
|
5.6 |
1.9 |
|
1.3 |
4.8 |
|
5.0 |
1.7 |
|
1.6 |
1.8 |
|
3.3 |
1.1 |
|
0.7 |
1.8 |
|
1.7 |
Net Error |
2.1 |
|
1.6 |
-1.6 |
|
0.1 |
1.3 |
|
0.7 |
-0.3 |
|
-0.1 |
1.7 |
|
1.2 |
1.6 |
|
3.3 |
1.1 |
|
0.1 |
-0.3 |
|
1.7 |
Std Dev |
0.6 |
|
1.2 |
4.8 |
|
3.2 |
0.6 |
|
0.1 |
2.0 |
|
2.0 |
0.6 |
|
0.2 |
0.7 |
|
1.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
Nighttime Forecasts
Updated: 07-01-22 at 11:00 pm |
Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
± 2.0° F |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
07-01-22 |
69 |
|
70 |
82 |
|
85 |
67 |
|
68 |
83 |
|
85 |
64 |
|
62 |
81 |
|
82 |
67 |
|
67 |
81 |
|
81 |
06-30-22 |
67 |
64.0 |
68 |
84 |
84.7 |
89 |
69 |
|
70 |
83 |
|
84 |
67 |
|
68 |
82 |
|
85 |
65 |
|
62 |
83 |
|
82 |
06-29-22 |
67 |
62.8 |
65 |
85 |
80.8 |
85 |
67 |
64.0 |
66 |
89 |
84.7 |
88 |
71 |
|
70 |
83 |
|
85 |
69 |
|
69 |
82 |
|
77 |
06-28-22 |
62 |
58.8 |
61 |
81 |
80.4 |
82 |
65 |
62.8 |
64 |
84 |
80.8 |
86 |
67 |
64.0 |
66 |
85 |
84.7 |
88 |
69 |
|
71 |
84 |
|
79 |
06-27-22 |
61 |
58.5 |
61 |
80 |
73.9 |
81 |
61 |
58.8 |
60 |
81 |
80.4 |
83 |
64 |
62.8 |
62 |
84 |
80.8 |
85 |
66 |
64.0 |
64 |
84 |
84.7 |
87 |
06-26-22 |
68 |
69.4 |
68 |
75 |
89.8 |
81 |
59 |
58.5 |
60 |
77 |
73.9 |
79 |
60 |
58.8 |
63 |
80 |
80.4 |
81 |
63 |
62.8 |
62 |
83 |
80.8 |
84 |
06-25-22 |
68 |
64.9 |
67 |
85 |
89.8 |
86 |
68 |
69.4 |
68 |
77 |
89.8 |
76 |
60 |
58.5 |
60 |
77 |
73.9 |
78 |
60 |
58.8 |
61 |
78 |
80.4 |
82 |
Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
# Succ |
1 |
|
1 |
2 |
|
1 |
2 |
|
5 |
1 |
|
0 |
3 |
|
3 |
2 |
|
1 |
3 |
|
2 |
1 |
|
1 |
% Succ |
16.7 |
|
16.7 |
33.3 |
|
16.7 |
40.0 |
|
100.0 |
20.0 |
|
0.0 |
75.0 |
|
75.0 |
50.0 |
|
25.0 |
100.0 |
|
66.7 |
33.3 |
|
33.3 |
Ave Error |
2.9 |
|
2.4 |
5.2 |
|
5.0 |
1.9 |
|
1.5 |
4.8 |
|
6.0 |
1.7 |
|
2.1 |
1.8 |
|
3.1 |
1.1 |
|
1.0 |
1.8 |
|
2.4 |
Net Error |
2.4 |
|
1.9 |
-1.6 |
|
0.8 |
1.3 |
|
0.9 |
-0.3 |
|
0.5 |
1.7 |
|
1.7 |
1.6 |
|
3.1 |
1.1 |
|
0.5 |
-0.3 |
|
2.4 |
Std Dev |
0.8 |
|
0.8 |
4.8 |
|
2.3 |
0.6 |
|
0.3 |
2.0 |
|
2.0 |
0.6 |
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|